Forest-fire-model

Part I - WeatherPy In this example, you’ll be creating a Python script to visualize the weather of 500+ cities across the world of varying distance from the equator. To accomplish this, you’ll be utilizing a simple Python library, the OpenWeatherMap API, and a little common sense to create a representative model of weather across world cities. Your first objective is to build a series of scatter plots to showcase the following relationships: Temperature (F) vs. Latitude Humidity (%) vs. Latitude Cloudiness (%) vs. Latitude Wind Speed (mph) vs. Latitude After each plot add a sentence or too explaining what the code is and analyzing. Your next objective is to run linear regression on each relationship, only this time separating them into Northern Hemisphere (greater than or equal to 0 degrees latitude) and Southern Hemisphere (less than 0 degrees latitude): Northern Hemisphere - Temperature (F) vs. Latitude Southern Hemisphere - Temperature (F) vs. Latitude Northern Hemisphere - Humidity (%) vs. Latitude Southern Hemisphere - Humidity (%) vs. Latitude Northern Hemisphere - Cloudiness (%) vs. Latitude Southern Hemisphere - Cloudiness (%) vs. Latitude Northern Hemisphere - Wind Speed (mph) vs. Latitude Southern Hemisphere - Wind Speed (mph) vs. Latitude After each pair of plots explain what the linear regression is modelling such as any relationships you notice and any other analysis you may have. Your final notebook must: Randomly select at least 500 unique (non-repeat) cities based on latitude and longitude. Perform a weather check on each of the cities using a series of successive API calls. Include a print log of each city as it’s being processed with the city number and city name. Save a CSV of all retrieved data and a PNG image for each scatter plot. Part II - VacationPy Now let’s use your skills in working with weather data to plan future vacations. Use jupyter-gmaps and the Google Places API for this part of the assignment. Note: if you having trouble displaying the maps try running jupyter nbextension enable --py gmaps in your environment and retry. Create a heat map that displays the humidity for every city from the part I of the homework. heatmap Narrow down the DataFrame to find your ideal weather condition. For example: A max temperature lower than 80 degrees but higher than 70. Wind speed less than 10 mph. Zero cloudiness. Drop any rows that don’t contain all three conditions. You want to be sure the weather is ideal. Note: Feel free to adjust to your specifications but be sure to limit the number of rows returned by your API requests to a reasonable number. Using Google Places API to find the first hotel for each city located within 5000 meters of your coordinates. Plot the hotels on top of the humidity heatmap with each pin containing the Hotel Name, City, and Country. hotel map As final considerations: Create a new GitHub repository for this project called API-Challenge (note the kebab-case). Do not add to an existing repo You must complete your analysis using a Jupyter notebook. You must use the Matplotlib or Pandas plotting libraries. For Part I, you must include a written description of three observable trends based on the data. You must use proper labeling of your plots, including aspects like: Plot Titles (with date of analysis) and Axes Labels. For max intensity in the heat map, try setting it to the highest humidity found in the data set. Hints and Considerations The city data you generate is based on random coordinates as well as different query times; as such, your outputs will not be an exact match to the provided starter notebook. You may want to start this assignment by refreshing yourself on the geographic coordinate system. Next, spend the requisite time necessary to study the OpenWeatherMap API. Based on your initial study, you should be able to answer basic questions about the API: Where do you request the API key? Which Weather API in particular will you need? What URL endpoints does it expect? What JSON structure does it respond with? Before you write a line of code, you should be aiming to have a crystal clear understanding of your intended outcome. A starter code for Citipy has been provided. However, if you’re craving an extra challenge, push yourself to learn how it works: citipy Python library. Before you try to incorporate the library into your analysis, start by creating simple test cases outside your main script to confirm that you are using it correctly. Too often, when introduced to a new library, students get bogged down by the most minor of errors – spending hours investigating their entire code – when, in fact, a simple and focused test would have shown their basic utilization of the library was wrong from the start. Don’t let this be you! Part of our expectation in this challenge is that you will use critical thinking skills to understand how and why we’re recommending the tools we are. What is Citipy for? Why would you use it in conjunction with the OpenWeatherMap API? How would you do so? In building your script, pay attention to the cities you are using in your query pool. Are you getting coverage of the full gamut of latitudes and longitudes? Or are you simply choosing 500 cities concentrated in one region of the world? Even if you were a geographic genius, simply rattling 500 cities based on your human selection would create a biased dataset. Be thinking of how you should counter this. (Hint: Consider the full range of latitudes). Once you have computed the linear regression for one chart, the process will be similar for all others. As a bonus, try to create a function that will create these charts based on different parameters. Remember that each coordinate will trigger a separate call to the Google API. If you’re creating your own criteria to plan your vacation, try to reduce the results in your DataFrame to 10 or fewer cities. Lastly, remember – this is a challenging activity. Push yourself! If you complete this task, then you can safely say that you’ve gained a strong mastery of the core foundations of data analytics and it will only go better from here. Good luck!

ANALYZING ROAD SAFETY & TRAFFIC DEMOGRAPHICS IN THE UK (Multi-class Classification) SUMMARY Here, I am aim to analyze the Road Safety and Traffic Demographics dataset (UK), containing accidents reported by the police between the years of 2004 - 2017. PROJECT GOALS: Identify factors responsible for most of the reported accidents. Build a machine learning model that is capable of accurately predicting the severity of an accident. Provide recommendations to the Department of Transport (UK Government), to improve road safety policies and prevent recurrences of severe accidents where possible. PACKAGES USED: Scikit-learn, numpy, pandas, imblearn (imbalanced-learn), seaborn, Matplotlib MOTIVATION World Health Organization (WHO) reported that more than 1.25 million people die each year while 50 million are injured as a result of road accidents worldwide. Road accidents are the 10th leading cause of death globally. On current trends, road traffic accidents are to become the 7th leading cause of death by 2030 making it a major public health concern. Between the years 2005 and 2016, there were roughly 2 million road accidents reported in the United Kingdom (UK) alone of which 16,000 were fatal. As a big data project, I wanted to explore the traffic demographics data in greater detail using machine learning! CONTEXT The UK government amassed traffic data from 2004 to 2017, recording over 2 million accidents in the process and making this one of the most comprehensive traffic data sets out there. It's a huge picture of a country undergoing change. Note that all the contained accident data comes from police reports, so this data does not include minor incidents. For steps undertaken to pre-process and clean the data, please view the "Data Cleansing & Descriptive Analysis_UK Traffic Demographics.ipynb" file DESCRIPTIVE ANALYTICS (EDA) Tools used include Python, Tableau, MS PowerBI Percent (%) distribution of target classes Percent dist of Accident Severity As seen above, the data is highly imbalanced. For detailed steps undertaken to deal with the imbalanced data, please view the "Modelling_Predictive Analytics_UK Traffic Demographics.ipynb" file. This article provides some great tips on utilizing the correct performance metrics when analyzing a models performance trained on an imbalanced dataset. This article describes several strategies that can help combat the case of a severly imbalanced dataset. Methods include: Resampling strategies (under - Tomek Links, Cluster Centroids, over sampling - SMOTE) Using Decision Tree based models Using Cost-Sensitive training (Penalize algorithms) Number of accidents by Year and Accident Severity Total accidents by year and severity It can be seen above that the trend seems to be increasing as the years go. In addition, the spike between 2008 - 2009 was because of a enhancement in the reporting system introduced in the UK in 2009, where all accident including minor accidents needed to be reported by the police so as to match the counts represented by hospitals, insurance claims etc. Accidents density by Location geomap Most accidents took place in major cities - Birmingham, London, leeds, Newcastle Accidents by Gender and Age Accidents by gender and age Accidents by Day of the week and Year Accidents by year and weekday Most accidents take place on a Friday Vehicle Manoever at time of accident Vehicle Manoever at time of accident Most accidents take place as a result of overtaking For more findings, please go to the "Images" folder. For steps undertaken to carry out some predictive modeling and hyper-parameter tuning, please view the "Modelling_Predictive Analytics_UK Traffic Demographics.ipynb" file. RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORT (UK) Decrease emergency response times during afternoon rush-hours (15-19) especially on Fridays. Allocate resources to investigate high density traffic points and identify new infrastructure needs to divert traffic from dual-carriage ways. Explore conditions of vehicles and casualties such as vehicle type, age of vehicles registered, pedestrian movements, etc. for policy makers. Adopt comprehensive distracted driving laws that increase penalties for drivers who commit traffic violations like aggressive overtaking. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The license for this dataset is the Open Givernment Licence used by all data on data.gov.uk. The raw datasets are available from the UK Department of Transport website. I had a lot of fun working on this dataset and learned a lot in the process. I plan to further my research in the area of predictive modeling using imabalanced data and how to effectively build a highly robust model for future projects. About Here, I analyze the Road Safety and Traffic Demographics dataset (UK), containing accidents reported by the police between the years of 2004 - 2017. Topics accident-rate accident-severity imbalanced-data imbalanced-learning road-accident reported-accidents road-safety uk-government transport traffic-demographics severe-accidents pca classification Resources Readme Releases No releases published Packages No packages published Languages Jupyter Notebook 100.0% © 2020 GitHub, Inc.

The project objective was to Investigate and understand the data provided regarding Waze user’s behavior. This data is a data extract that is planned to be used in a retention model to improve user retention. The results are posted in an Executive Summary and also in a Jupyter Notebook with the Python Code developed.